Conspiracies prompts

Help me talk with someone I care about who believes something I think is false. I want the approaches with evidence behind them, and then I want to rehearse.

Who and what: [YOUR RELATIONSHIP TO THEM, WHAT THEY BELIEVE, HOW LONG, AND HOW IT CAME UP LAST TIME]

PART 1: WHAT DOES NOT WORK, AND WHAT ACTUALLY DOES. Correct my model before I o

Talk Someone Back

Someone you care about went down a rabbit hole. The techniques that work, the ones that backfire, and a rehearsal before the real conversation.

Rabbit Holeadvanced
Teach me how to decide which experts to trust, given that I cannot personally verify almost anything I believe. Treat this as a solvable practical problem, not an excuse for either deference or cynicism.

Start by making me feel the problem: ask me to name three things I am confident about that I have not personally verified and could not

Who Should You Believe

You cannot verify most of what you believe. Learn the criteria for judging expertise from the outside, and where expert judgment reliably fails.

Rabbit Holeintermediate
Teach me how power actually operates in modern democracies, using documented mechanisms, not a naive civics-class model or a shadowy-cabal model. The interesting truth sits between them, and it explains more than either.

THE CORE ASYMMETRY. Start here, because everything else follows from it: a policy that costs each of fifty million peo

How Power Actually Works

No cabal required. The documented mechanisms by which concentrated interests beat diffuse ones, and how to trace them on an issue you care about.

Rabbit Holeadvanced
I'm going to name a conspiracy theory. Your job is not to debunk it and not to indulge it. Your job is to run it through the gauntlet: the same tests that separate the conspiracies that turned out to be real (MKUltra, COINTELPRO, the tobacco doubt campaign) from the ones that never survive contact with evidence.

The theory: [NAME THE THE

The Conspiracy Gauntlet

Bring any conspiracy theory and run it through the full gauntlet: honest steelman, leak math, evidence grading, and a verdict with a confidence score.

Rabbit Holeadvanced
Guide me through conspiracies that actually happened: the ones with declassified documents, congressional hearings, whistleblowers, and convictions. I want the true stories that sound too dark to be real, and I want to come out the other side knowing what real conspiracies look like.

The tour, one case at a time. For each case, tell the 

The Real Conspiracy Files

A tour of conspiracies that actually happened, documents and all, ending with the pattern that separates real plots from imaginary mega-theories.

Rabbit Holebeginner

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